Current:Home > ContactU.S. stocks little moved by potential Harris run for president against Trump -MoneyTrend
U.S. stocks little moved by potential Harris run for president against Trump
View
Date:2025-04-18 23:07:39
U.S. stocks were little moved by news President Joe Biden dropped his reelection bid and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris, to take his spot.
Although Harris as the Democratic nominee isn’t guaranteed, endorsements and campaign cash almost immediately began to pile up, making the nomination “hers to lose,” said Brian Gardner, Stifel chief Washington policy strategist. “Despite calls by some Democrats for an 'open process,' we believe that she could effectively secure the nomination within the next 48 hours” and the only question would be whom she’ll choose as her running mate.
No matter what though, analysts still think Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump will win in November and nothing much has changed for U.S. stocks yet.
Harris as the top pick to replace Biden as the Democratic nominee may have tightened the race, but “with Mr. Trump continuing as the frontrunner, we think the 'Trump trade' will remain in place,” Gardner said.
The S&P 500 was up 0.62% to 5,539.23 points at 12:12 p.m. ET. The Dow was up 0.032% to 40,300.27 and tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.96% to 17,897.98.
What is the Trump trade?
The Trump trade is basically buying stocks investors think will benefit from Trump’s policies.
For example, Trump has said he wants to allow oil companies to drill more, and that’s helped energy stocks. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund is up about 8.5% since the beginning of the year.
The recent rotation out of large cap stocks that have powered the stock market this year is also part of the Trump trade as Trump threatens to raise tariffs on China and Europe, analysts said.
“Small caps should do well as a hedge on a potential tariff war that could negatively impact larger firms with international exposure,” Gardner said.
What about a Harris trade?
So far, there isn’t a Harris trade. Not only does she have to seal the nomination, but she would have to show she can actually beat Trump.
She’s also still tied to President Biden’s economic record and hasn’t spoken enough on economic policy for economists to build a forecast, market watchers say.
“We don’t think there’s a lot of mileage to be had in trawling through her policy positions during the 2020 primary (when she initially ran for president), particularly as she focused more on social issues rather than economic initiatives,” said Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist at research firm Capital Economics.
Changing faces of 2024 election:Election 2024 live updates: Endorsements rush in for Harris; Trump attacks begin
What are stock investors focused on instead?
Without a huge change in presidential election odds, investors remain focused on company news, the economy and interest rates, analysts said.
In company news, cybersecurity firm Crowdstrike continues to tumble after the company’s update on Friday caused a major worldwide IT outage that other businesses like Delta Airlines are still struggling to recover from. Crowdstrike shares dropped to their lowest level since January, down 13.5% to $263.70 at 12:11 p.m. ET, while Delta shed 2.05% to $44.51.
As for the economy and interest rates, most economists believe recent signs of a cooling jobs market and lower inflation will lead the Federal Reserve to cut rates in September. It would be the first rate cut since the Fed slashed rates to near zero at the start of the pandemic in 2020.
A report on the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation is due on Friday, and economists expect it to confirm that inflation continued to ease in June, giving the Fed room to trim the highest interest rates in two decades.
“With rents returning to pre-pandemic rates, the balance of the June inflation data are likely to qualify as a 'really good' reading, to use Chair Powell's taxonomy,” wrote Deutsch Bank economists in a note. “We cannot understate the importance of the downshift in rental inflation in June.”
Medora Lee is a money, markets, and personal finance reporter at USA TODAY. You can reach her at [email protected] and subscribe to our free Daily Money newsletter for personal finance tips and business news every Monday through Friday morning.
veryGood! (1)
Related
- Nevada attorney general revives 2020 fake electors case
- French airport worker unions call for strike right before Paris Olympics
- Tobey Maguire's Ex-Wife Jennifer Meyer Defends His Photos With 20-Year-Old Model Lily Chee
- Homes are selling below list price. That's bad for sellers, good for buyers
- Off the Grid: Sally breaks down USA TODAY's daily crossword puzzle, Triathlon
- Inside Pregnant Gypsy Rose Blanchard and Ken Urker's Road to Baby
- Chicago denounces gun violence after 109 shot, 19 fatally, during Fourth of July weekend
- Iran detains an outspoken lawyer who criticized 2022 crackdown following Mahsa Amini's death
- Opinion: Gianni Infantino, FIFA sell souls and 2034 World Cup for Saudi Arabia's billions
- The inspiring truth behind the movie 'Sound of Hope: The Story of Possum Trot'
Ranking
- Skins Game to make return to Thanksgiving week with a modern look
- Two sets of siblings die in separate drowning incidents in the Northeast
- 'Bob's Burgers' actor Jay Johnston pleads guilty in Capitol riot case: Reports
- Why Lena Dunham Feels Protective of Taylor Swift
- 2 killed, 3 injured in shooting at makeshift club in Houston
- 2 people were injured in shooting outside a Virginia mall. They are expected to survive
- Former guards and inmate families urge lawmakers to fix Wisconsin prisons
- A Turning Point in Financial Innovation: The Ascent of DB Wealth Institute
Recommendation
Trump invites nearly all federal workers to quit now, get paid through September
Teen dives onto shark and is bitten during lifeguard training camp in Florida
Georgia slave descendants submit signatures to fight zoning changes they say threaten their homes
White House releases letter from Biden's doctor after questions about Parkinson's specialist's White House visits
San Francisco names street for Associated Press photographer who captured the iconic Iwo Jima photo
DB Wealth Institute, the Cradle of Financial Elites
3 Columbia University administrators ousted from posts over controversial texts
Chicago Baptist church pastor missing, last seen on July 2